Texas lifted all restrictions against COVID despite still low vaccination levels: we are about to see, live and direct, if it was a good idea
On March 10, Texas Governor Greg Abbott, decided to delete the mandatory nature of masks and eliminated capacity restrictions for all businesses in the state. It was a very controversial decision that caused an intense state debate, national e international. At that moment, new cases and hospitalizations were falling rapidly, but vaccinations had slowed due to heavy snowfall in mid-February.
What were we going to find? It was not very clear why, despite warnings from the same state health authority, Texas was entering relatively new territory. A territory that will allow us to measure, live and direct, when it is too early to open society and the economy; or what is the same, what levels of vaccination give rise to prepare for a return to normality.
An epidemiological disaster or a decision with sense?
Until now, the canonical example of a thaw has been Israel, but the differences with Texas are obvious. The country was about 50% of its entire population completely vaccinated when the graph of new cases plummeted. Texas, Today, has only fully vaccinated just over three million people, 11% of its population. Twice as many Texans have received at least one dose.
It is clear that the data for Texas are much better than those for European countries, but it must be taken into account that specialists estimate that it takes between a 75% Y a 90% of immunized population so that group immunity begins to have effects on the epidemiological evolution of a specific place. And, at least in this, Texas appears to be far from achieving those goals.
In this sense, the American state It will allow us to observe the consequences of removing restrictions with high levels of vaccination, but relatively low. And I say that it will allow us because only in the next few days will the effect of removing the confinement and the mandatory masks begin to be noticed in the health records. This two-week margin (as seen in the top Israeli chart) is to be expected and is about to end.
From this moment on, it only remains to wait to see what happens in the state of the lone star. Analyze the results and examine in detail the behavior of Texans to see how they are solved on a practical level many of the problems that the opening of the state has caused, will be key to designing de-escalation in much of the world. We will be attentive.
Image | Enrique Macias