A society revolted against the Government
They have wasted their time competing over who takes on the political adversity. While these civil wars took place within Kirchnerism, an intense bad mood grew and spread in a looted and defrauded society. Silvina Batakiswhom the markets trusted for only 24 hours and then despised, came to deepen the adjustment that they did not allow Martin Guzman. The question that worries us is not, then, why did Batakis arrive, but why did Guzmán leave?. The adjustment is not within the framework of a broad and new economic program, which would be necessary; it is only the desperate act of a government without water or oxygen, which continues with the practice of financing itself with the poor resources that it extracts from the society that it should protect. In recent days, social boredom has made itself felt with the explicit protest of rural producers and picketers, despite the fact that no one can imagine two more different social sectors.
The exception was the unions governed by a bureaucracy of complacent millionaires. However, even they had to call for a march within a month (how much time do they need?), but to demand a social and political agreement. How? In the midst of an inflation of close to 90 percent per year, will the CGT mobilize only to ask for an agreement between politicians? Is there not, perhaps, any conflict that justifies a protest? “It is a march for the country, not against the government,” he clarified. Jose Luis Lingeri, one of the oldest and richest caciques of the Argentine guild. The country also needs satisfied stomachs. The union corporation is one more tool of Peronism in any of its versions. A Alfonsín, De la Rúa or Macri I would have already made three general strikes in the last four months. There is, however, an easily perceptible conclusion: they could not do nothing because inflation is fraying the wages of formal workers, who are the ones they claim to represent. Bad humor is also among unionized workers. That is another strangeness: the sensitivity of union leaders is limited to formal workers; they never dealt with the unemployed or the retired or those who were never able to enter the labor market. It is a bureaucracy that has lost its legitimacy and its reason for existing.
Cristina Kirchner does everything possible to get away from the fire of a social uprising that is already general. She fears a dogma without magic
According to all the polls, the middle class feels hemmed in on the way down, which is the only path it has historically fled from. Batakis mistreated her again with the announcement of the real estate revaluation, which will necessarily increase the taxes that will be paid on personal property. The minister was not satisfied with that and increased the tax withholding for expenses abroad by 10 points. The minister had already imposed a rural real estate revaluation in the province of Buenos Aires (a decision that the countryside never forgot) and an inheritance tax. The middle class is used to traveling or doing door-to-door shopping abroad. According to the organization that brings together airlines, Argentines pay 82 percent of taxes on the price of plane tickets abroad. A 30 percent PAIS tax, a 45 percent profit advance and a 7 percent tourism tax. If they want to discourage trips abroad, why don’t they just close Ezeiza? The same happens with any payment (hotels, for example) abroad. This tax increase will also mean a rise even in the fees for movie and series services for streaming. Argentina is one of the Latin American countries with the highest percentage of its society associated with these services.
The advance of earnings increases is a way for the State to finance itself with the money of the company. What is spent abroad now can be discounted with the annual tax settlements of May or June of next year. That will happen in a country that runs at the rate of annual inflation closer to 90 than 80 percent. The advances of now will dissolve with the simple course of time. Argentines who are abroad traveled with a tax on the tourist dollar and will have to pay it with a higher tax. The dissociation between the aspirational level and reality is enormous for the middle class. Too many bumps, too much improvisation. Is the value of the official dollar undervalued? The solution is in the hands of the Government, not society. The government ran out of dollars, what is really the problem? Those who govern should take charge of the mistrust they cause; the people who can are accumulating stock of the things necessary to live, because they know that they will cost more or that they might be missing. How to be surprised that the middle class is fed up with all the political leadership, which is the real risk that Argentina runs?
Soybean farmers receive only a third of its price, according to Chicago market values. All rural production pays between 75 and 80 percent of direct and indirect taxes. Only between withholdings (which is a tax on exports) and Profits, soybean producers pay 68 percent of taxes, in addition to the provincial tax burden and VAT on the products they need. Now they also have serious problems accessing all the supplies they need (from fertilizers and pesticides to tires for tractors and trucks), because the government requires them to pay those dollars in 60 days. No one abroad is willing to wait so long for the Argentines. In the end, some producers chose the swap option: they deliver soybeans, wheat or corn in exchange for inputs. The universe of the field has become aware of the imbalances that the different types of exchange mean and that it is losing a unique opportunity in the world. Since the Moscow satrap unleashed a cruel and unnecessary war, food prices have skyrocketed, because both Russia and Ukraine are (or were) major international food suppliers. Alberto Fernandez it is a machine for manufacturing contradictions: it went to Europe to offer Argentina as a safe supplier of food, while its government does nothing more than cut off the feet of food producers. In his nature lies a passion for paradox.
The conflict with the piqueteros has other ingredients, although it must also be accepted that the 1,300,000 Argentines who live on State subsidies receive the impact of inflation even more strongly. The average value of social subsidies is 21,000 pesos per month. Very little. Added to this palpable reality is the decision of the Minister of Social Development, John Zabaleta, to convene the national universities to audit the management of the plans by social organizations. Justice is also investigating 7,000 complaints from beneficiaries of social plans who said they were forced to attend marches or that they must pay part of the subsidy to the leaders of these organizations. Justice found many dollars and many more pesos in the hands of the leaders who manage hunger. Both the Trotskyist and the Kirchnerist groups are in the crosshairs of the judges: the Clasista and Combative Currents, the Polo Obrero and the Evita Movement. Own Aemilius Persian, a kind of holy man of the Albertista Evita Movement and an official of the Ministry of Social Development, is being investigated for political manipulation of social plans. That is what largely explains the massive marches that have united Kirchnerist and Trotskyist organizations in the same constellation. To make matters worse, Zabaleta ordered that the beneficiaries of social plans who do not work at least four hours a day or who do not study are left immediately without the help of the State. The leaders of these organizations dramatically lose their leadership of the social conflict.
Cristina Kirchner He does everything possible to get away from the fire of a social uprising that is already general. He fears a dogma without magic. He will continue to run from adversity, even if he must once again betray the president he anointed out of the blue.